Our model gives Andranik a 83% chance to win this one, against 10% for a draw and 7% for Mika Yerevan.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 78% likelihood against 22% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Andranik have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Mika Yerevan have done so in 3 of their last 3.