Our model gives Amical Saint-Prex a 24% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 55% for Stade Nyonnais.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Amical Saint-Prex have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Stade Nyonnais have done so in 3 of their last 3.