Our model gives Amical Saint-Prex a 50% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Bellinzona.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Amical Saint-Prex have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Bellinzona have done so in 1 of their last 3.