Our model gives Aluminij U19 a 21% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 61% for Maribor U19.

Both teams are projected to score in 67% of simulations, against 33% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 67% likelihood against 33% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Aluminij U19 have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Maribor U19 have done so in 1 of their last 2.