Our model gives Žalgiris II a 21% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 57% for Babrungas.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Žalgiris II have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Babrungas have done so in 2 of their last 4.