Our model gives Aldershot Town a 31% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 44% for Harrogate Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 51% likelihood against 49% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Aldershot Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Harrogate Town have done so in 2 of their last 2.