Our model gives Al Zawra'a a 61% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Naft Maysan.

Both teams are projected to score in 49% of simulations, against 51% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 50% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Naft Maysan have done so in 0 of their last 1.