Our model gives Al Taawoun a 40% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Al Khaleej.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Al Taawoun have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Al Khaleej have done so in 0 of their last 1.