Our model gives Al Nassr a 63% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Al Taawoun.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Al Taawoun have done so in 0 of their last 1.