Our model gives Al Khaleej a 6% chance to win this one, against 12% for a draw and 82% for Al Hilal.

Both teams are projected to score in 45% of simulations, against 55% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Al Khaleej have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Al Hilal have done so in 1 of their last 1.