Our model gives Al Jazira a 37% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Ajman.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Al Jazira have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Ajman have done so in 1 of their last 1.