Our model gives Al Ittihad a 60% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Al Hazm.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Al Ittihad have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Al Hazm have done so in 1 of their last 1.