Our model gives Al Hilal a 49% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Al Faisaly.

Both teams are projected to score in 60% of simulations, against 40% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Al Hilal have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Al Faisaly have done so in 1 of their last 1.