Our model gives Al Ettifaq a 16% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 65% for Al Draih.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Al Ettifaq have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Al Draih have done so in 0 of their last 1.