Our model gives Al Ain a 56% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Al Nasr.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 57% likelihood against 43% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Al Nasr have done so in 1 of their last 1.