Our model gives Akron a 24% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 50% for CSKA Moskva.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 49% likelihood against 51% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Akron have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5, and CSKA Moskva have done so in 0 of their last 4.