Our model gives Akron a 30% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 41% for Akhmat Grozny.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 41% likelihood against 59% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Akron have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5, and Akhmat Grozny have done so in 1 of their last 4.