Our model gives Airbus UK a 67% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Cardiff MU.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Airbus UK have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Cardiff MU have done so in 1 of their last 2.