Our model gives Airbus UK a 57% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Ammanford.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Airbus UK have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Ammanford have done so in 2 of their last 3.