Our model gives Agropecuario Argentino a 53% chance to win this one, against 29% for a draw and 18% for Güemes.

Both teams are projected to score in 38% of simulations, against 62% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 33% likelihood against 67% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Agropecuario Argentino have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Güemes have done so in 3 of their last 3.