Our model gives AFC Stoneham a 71% chance to win this one, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Barnstaple Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, AFC Stoneham have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Barnstaple Town have done so in 1 of their last 1.