Our model gives Adelaide City a 59% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 23% for West Torrens Birkalla.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 71% likelihood against 29% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Adelaide City have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and West Torrens Birkalla have done so in 0 of their last 1.