Our model gives Academico Viseu a 16% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 59% for Porto.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 43% likelihood against 57% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Academico Viseu have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Porto have done so in 0 of their last 1.