Our model gives Academia Puerto Cabello a 58% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Academia Anzoátegui.

Both teams are projected to score in 43% of simulations, against 57% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 41% likelihood against 59% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Academia Puerto Cabello have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Academia Anzoátegui have done so in 1 of their last 2.