Our model gives Aalen a 22% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 58% for Eintracht Trier.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Aalen have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Eintracht Trier have done so in 0 of their last 1.