Our model gives 2 de Mayo a 32% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 40% for Sportivo Luqueño.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 38% likelihood against 62% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, 2 de Mayo have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Sportivo Luqueño have done so in 3 of their last 4.