Our model gives 1860 München a 63% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Nürnberg II.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, 1860 München have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Nürnberg II have done so in 1 of their last 3.